National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
3 - 0
South Shields

Moore (25'), Lloyd (52'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (76')
Morgan (45+3'), Thomson (68'), Doyle (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Okeke (63'), McGowan (81'), Morse (81')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 3-0 South Shields
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawSouth Shields
42.91%24.8%32.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.62% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7%21.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southport 42.91%
    South Shields 32.29%
    Draw 24.8%
SouthportDrawSouth Shields
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.29%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
South Shields
3-0
Southport
Martin (18'), Blackett (24' pen.), Hunter (66')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Southport
1-0
South Shields
Evans (51' pen.)