Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.