National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
3 - 2
Buxton

Hilton (14'), Lloyd (54'), Morgan (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Popoola (19'), Burton (90+3')
Elliott (31'), Ravenhill (87')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Chorley 4-1 Southport
Monday, August 26 at 1pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Marine AFC
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawBuxton
31.45% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)25.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)43.35% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.044999999999995 0.04)47.71% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.041 0.04)69.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.56% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)64.35% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)21.98% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (0.073 0.07)55.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Southport 31.45%
    Buxton 43.35%
    Draw 25.19%
SouthportDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.35%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Southport
2-2
Buxton
Lloyd (36' pen.), Bennett (90')
Carver (90+5'), Burgess (90')
Andreucci (20', 47')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Buxton
0-1
Southport
O'Neil (5')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Buxton
1-0
Southport
De Girolamo (77')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southport
1-4
Buxton
Watson (90+1')
Kirby (45+3'), De Girolamo (62'), Osborne (74'), Gilchrist (90+4')