National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
1 - 0
Buxton

Fryatt (17')
Gash (3'), Jarvis (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mann (29'), Elliott (37'), Kirby (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawBuxton
25.47% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)49.07% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)52.18% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)73.89% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)35.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.13% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 25.47%
    Buxton 49.06%
    Draw 25.46%
Peterborough SportsDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 11.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 49.06%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
P'boro Sports
1-3
Buxton
Jarvis (24')
Mottley-Henry (32', 90+1'), McCourt (39')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Buxton
2-2
P'boro Sports
De Girolamo (16'), Burrow (78')
Fowkes (24'), McCammon (90+3')
Dec 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Buxton
3-0
P'boro Sports
De Girolamo (14' pen.), McKay (65'), Osborne (87')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
P'boro Sports
1-1
Buxton
Jarvis (33' pen.)
Barker (48')
Gilchrist (41')