National League North | Gameweek 21
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Sault (23'), Popoola (84')
Kirby (45'), Fitzhugh (48'), Popoola (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Atkinson (76')
Branson (28'), Atkinson (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Leamington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 2-3 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawFarsley Celtic
61.29% (-0.628 -0.63)22.71% (0.363 0.36)16% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 45.34% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-0.957 -0.96)52.43% (0.955 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-0.828 -0.83)74.11% (0.827 0.83)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.54700000000001 -0.55)16.68% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (-0.989 -0.99)46.56% (0.98699999999999 0.99)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.42% (-0.215 -0.21)45.58% (0.215 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.61% (-0.171 -0.17)81.39% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 61.28%
    Farsley Celtic 16%
    Draw 22.71%
BuxtonDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Farsley Celtic
2-0
Buxton
Allan (12'), Assenso (49')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Buxton
1-2
Farsley Celtic
De Girolamo (32' pen.)
De Girolamo (53')
Stephenson (44'), R (45+3')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Buxton
2-0
Farsley Celtic
McCourt (45+2'), De Girolamo (86')
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Farsley Celtic
2-1
Buxton
Scales (34'), Spencer (42')
Osborne (64')