National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Andrew Williams 76' goal
  • Andrew Williams 90'+3' goal
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 45'+2'
  • goal Kyle Howkins 70' (OG)

Hereford United vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.30pm
Hereford 4 - 1 Farsley Celtic
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Buxton 1 - 4 Chester
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Diego De Girolamo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 43.32% (-0.24)
Draw 25.06% (+0.13)
Buxton 31.62% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.98% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 47.02% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 30.74% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 69.26% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 15.19% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 84.81% (+0.34)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 78.3% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 21.7% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 45.15% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 54.85% (+0.50)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 71.9% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 28.11% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 36.22% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 63.78% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Hereford United 43.33%
Draw 25.05%
Buxton 31.62%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.12% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.1% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
Buxton
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Jordan Burrow 40' goal
  • Jake Hull 80' goal
  • goal Jason Cowley 60'
National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • goal Kane Thompson-Sommers 55'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Luke Haines 67' goal
  • Harry Pinchard 85' goal