National League North | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 2
Buxton

Williams (76', 90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

De Girolamo (45+2'), Howkins (70' og.)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 23 at 3.30pm in National League North

Goals
for

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Buxton
43.32% ( -0.24)	25.06% ( 0.13)	31.62% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98% (

-0.51)

47.02% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.74% (

-0.48)

69.26% (

0.47)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

-0.32)

21.7% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

-0.5)

54.85% (

0.49)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

-0.18)

28.11% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22% (

-0.23)

63.78% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 43.33%

Buxton 31.62%

Draw 25.05%

Hereford United	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.33%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.62%