Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.