National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 3
Blyth Spartans

Lloyd (25'), Bennett (54')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Hooper (7', 31'), Bodenham (43')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Blyth Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Southport
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Blyth Spartans

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-2 Darlington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawBlyth Spartans
46.61% (0.051000000000002 0.05)24.88% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)28.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (0.052 0.05)47.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)69.95% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.042000000000002 0.04)20.54% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.067 0.07)53.05% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Blyth Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)30.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southport 46.61%
    Blyth Spartans 28.51%
    Draw 24.88%
SouthportDrawBlyth Spartans
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.61%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.51%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Blyth Spartans
3-3
Southport
Knight (18' pen.), Hickey (36'), Ndjoli (38')
Bainbridge (22'), Holmes (50'), Watson (82')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Southport
2-1
Blyth Spartans
Doyle (46'), Walton (50')
Chiabi (85' pen.)
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Blyth Spartans
1-0
Southport
Main (32')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Southport
2-3
Blyth Spartans
Newell (12'), Anson (76')
Almond (42'), O'Donnell (67'), McNall (73')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Blyth Spartans
1-2
Southport
Liddle (40')
Watson (71'), Carver (72')