Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.