Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Southport had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.