Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.