Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.