National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
3 - 0
Hereford

Green (25', 61', 90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cowley (40')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawHereford United
51.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)24.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.067 -0.07)46.02% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)18.02% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)32.45% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.067 -0.07)68.98% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 51.13%
    Hereford United 24.99%
    Draw 23.87%
Scarborough AthleticDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.99%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hereford
3-1
Scarborough Ath
Babos (33'), Cowley (48'), Ceesay (79')
Mulhern (74' pen.)
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Hereford
2-0
Scarborough Ath
Pendley (18'), Storey (46')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Scarborough Ath
1-0
Hereford
Haines (66' og.)