National League North | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 1
Gloucester City

Williams (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beresford (78')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gloucester City 2-3 Hereford
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-3 Hereford
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawGloucester City
66.56% (-0.108 -0.11)19.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)13.52% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (-0.067 -0.07)45.8% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.11% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)12.85% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.107 -0.11)39.22% (0.106 0.11)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)45.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (0.041999999999998 0.04)80.99% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 66.55%
    Gloucester City 13.52%
    Draw 19.92%
Hereford UnitedDrawGloucester City
2-0 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 66.55%
1-1 @ 9.47% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.62% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.77% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.52%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Gloucester City
2-3
Hereford
Pinchard (57'), Wright (76')
Ceesay (49'), Williams (83', 90+8')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Gloucester City
2-0
Hereford
McHale (10'), Dada (42')
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hereford
1-3
Gloucester City
McClure (22'), Mitford (49', 83')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hereford
2-1
Gloucester City
Gordon (22'), Owen-Evans (45+1')
Green (74')