Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Gloucester City
48.48% ( 0.31)	25.51% ( -0.1)	26% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

0.24)

52.01% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

0.21)

73.75% (

-0.21)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

0.23)

21.47% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

0.36)

54.49% (

-0.36)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

-0.04)

34.83% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

-0.04)

71.57% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 48.48%

Gloucester City 26%

Draw 25.51%

Hereford United	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.48%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 26%