Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.

Result
Banbury United	Draw	Hereford United
46.07% ( -0.1)	26.01% ( 0.07)	27.92% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

-0.25)

52.73% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

-0.22)

74.36% (

0.22)

Banbury United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.16)

22.85% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

-0.23)

56.58% (

0.23)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-0.11)

33.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

-0.12)

70.32% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Banbury United 46.06%

Hereford United 27.92%

Draw 26%

Banbury United	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 46.06%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.92%