National League North | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 3
Spennymoor

Ramshaw (14' og.), Barnett (45+1' pen., 49' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Thewlis (23', 34'), Anderson (84')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Gloucester City	0	0	0
16	Hereford United	0	0	0
17	Kettering Town	0	0	0

Spennymoor Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Scarborough Athletic	0	0	0
23	Southport	0	0	0
24	Spennymoor Town	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Spennymoor Town
40.87% ( 0.36)	26.98% ( 0.13)	32.15% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 50.3% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

-0.63)

54.83% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

-0.52)

76.13% (

0.52)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.1)

26.38% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

-0.13)

61.53% (

0.13)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

-0.65)

31.67% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

-0.76)

68.08% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 40.87%

Spennymoor Town 32.15%

Draw 26.98%

Hereford United	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.87%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.15%