National League North | Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
1 - 0
Hereford

Thewlis (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawHereford United
46.94%26.04%27.02%
Both teams to score 50.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61%53.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07%74.93%
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59%56.41%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26%34.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.47%
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 46.94%
    Hereford United 27.02%
    Draw 26.03%
Spennymoor TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.94%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Spennymoor
4-0
Hereford
Taylor (7' pen., 88'), Hornby-Forbes (21'), Anderson (54')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Hereford
2-2
Spennymoor
Nicholson (27'), Owen-Evans (78', 79')
Johnson (61'), Taylor (75')