National League North | Gameweek 35
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street
Alfreton Town

Hereford
1 - 2
Alfreton

Lloyd (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hobson (20'), Ceesay (45+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

Last Six:
Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawAlfreton Town
51.6%24.57%23.83%
Both teams to score 51.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02%49.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04%71.96%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64%19.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86%51.14%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39%35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62%72.37%
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 51.59%
    Alfreton Town 23.83%
    Draw 24.57%
Hereford UnitedDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.12%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.83%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Alfreton
3-3
Hereford
Hobson (3'), Evans (42'), Reeves (79')
Storey (40', 62'), Haines (90+3')
May 8, 2021 3pm
Hereford
0-0
Alfreton
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Alfreton
P-P
Hereford