National League North | Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Alfreton Town

Kettering
1 - 0
Alfreton

Stead (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kettering Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kettering Town in this match.

Result
Kettering TownDrawAlfreton Town
51.79%24.74%23.47%
Both teams to score 51.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04%50.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17%72.83%
Kettering Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33%19.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36%51.64%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75%73.25%
Score Analysis
    Kettering Town 51.78%
    Alfreton Town 23.48%
    Draw 24.73%
Kettering TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 9.48%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.48%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
Alfreton
3-3
Kettering
Day (6'), Bradley (46'), Reeves (80')
Milnes (35'), Powell (52', 85')