Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 37
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Alfreton Town

Chorley
1 - 2
Alfreton

Blyth (27' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ceesay (51'), Hobson (63')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

Last Six:
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawAlfreton Town
70.26%18.16%11.58%
Both teams to score 47.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.05%10.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.83%35.17%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7%46.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05%81.95%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 70.26%
    Alfreton Town 11.58%
    Draw 18.16%
ChorleyDrawAlfreton Town
2-0 @ 12.4%
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 7.04%
4-0 @ 5.06%
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.24%
5-1 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 70.26%
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 5.07%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.16%
0-1 @ 3.9%
1-2 @ 3.33%
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.58%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2021 3pm
Alfreton
0-1
Chorley
Alli (81')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Chorley
0-0
Alfreton
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Alfreton
1-1
Chorley
Rawson (24')
Hall (90+6' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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