National League North | Gameweek 11
Mar 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Alfreton Town

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Alfreton

Ndlovu (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Chester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
63.19%21.66%15.15%
Both teams to score 46.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21%49.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2%71.8%
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85%15.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26%43.74%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.85%45.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94%81.05%
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 63.18%
    Alfreton Town 15.15%
    Draw 21.66%
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 6.09%
4-0 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 63.18%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.44%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.15%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Alfreton
0-1
Brackley Town
Lowe (48')
Yusuf (58')
Nov 10, 2020 7.45pm
Alfreton
0-2
Brackley Town
Mitford (41'), Byrne (70')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Alfreton
2-4
Brackley Town
Tomlinson (90'), Johnson (90' pen.)
York (15'), Armson (30' pen.), Lowe (57'), Ndlovu (66')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Brackley Town
1-0
Alfreton
Langmead (84'), Murombedzi (85')