Alfreton
4 - 2
Curzon Ashton

Rhead (15' pen., 79' pen.), Salmon (29'), Smith (44')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Peers (42' pen.), Whitham (68')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Curzon Ashton
48.56%	25.43%	26.01%

Both teams to score 51.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.35%

51.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57%

73.43%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72%

21.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79%

54.21%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37%

34.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65%

71.35%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 48.56%

Curzon Ashton 26.01%

Draw 25.42%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.56%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.82% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.01%