National League North Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Matt Rhead 15' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 29' goal
  • Dominic Smith 44' goal
  • Matt Rhead 79' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 42'
  • goal Dale Whitham 68'

Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
Leamington 1 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
Guiseley 2 - 2 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Alex Curran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 48.56%
Draw 25.43%
Curzon Ashton 26.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.35%
Under 2.5 51.64%
Over 3.5 26.57%
Under 3.5 73.43%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.72%
Under 0.5 21.28%
Over 1.5 45.79%
Under 1.5 54.21%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 65.37%
Under 0.5 34.62%
Over 1.5 28.65%
Under 1.5 71.35%

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 48.56%
Draw 25.42%
Curzon Ashton 26.01%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.42%
Curzon Ashton
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.01%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Craig Hobson 77' goal
  • goal Bailey Hobson 1'
  • goal Antwoine Hackford 46'
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 1
Oct 5, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Dominic Knowles 38' goal
  • goal James Jones 45'
  • redcard Josh Clackstone 90'+1'