National League North Gameweek 38
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dominic Smith 7' goal
  • Matt Rhead 22' goal
  • Dominic Smith 82' goal

Alfreton Town vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

York City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
York City 1 - 0 Spennymoor
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Mitchell Hancox

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 38.46%
Draw 25.62%
York City 35.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.47%
Under 2.5 48.53%
Over 3.5 29.34%
Under 3.5 70.66%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.21%
Under 0.5 24.79%
Over 1.5 40.64%
Under 1.5 59.36%

York City Goals

Over 0.5 73.79%
Under 0.5 26.2%
Over 1.5 38.7%
Under 1.5 61.3%

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 38.46%
Draw 25.62%
York City 35.92%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 38.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
York City
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.92%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paddy McLaughlin 60' goal
National League North Gameweek 42
May 29, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 21
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
National League North Gameweek 34
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Danny Clarke 88' goal
  • goal Sean Newton 8'
  • goal Alex Kempster 11'
  • goal Sean Newton 79'