Alfreton
3 - 0
York City

Smith (7', 82'), Rhead (22' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

Last Six:

Last Game: Telford 1-1 York City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Chorley	41	15	65
6	York City	41	8	65
7	Kettering Town	41	6	60

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	York City
38.46%	25.62%	35.92%

Both teams to score 55.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47%

48.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34%

70.66%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21%

24.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64%

59.36%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79%

26.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7%

61.3%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 38.46%

York City 35.92%

Draw 25.62%

Alfreton Town	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.46%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.92%