National League North Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Luke Haines 14' goal
  • Harry Pinchard 37' goal
  • Ryan McLean 45' goal
  • Ryan McLean 46' redcard
  • goal Adam Nowakowski 49'
  • goal Brad Dockerty 57'

Hereford United vs Bradford Park Avenue - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
Gloucester City 1 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Tom Owen-Evans

Bradford Park Avenue

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
Bradford Park Av 0 - 0 Guiseley
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Brad Dockerty

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result

Hereford United 60.38%
Draw 22.25%
Bradford Park Avenue 17.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.6%
Under 2.5 48.4%
Over 3.5 29.46%
Under 3.5 70.54%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 84.4%
Under 0.5 15.6%
Over 1.5 55.42%
Under 1.5 44.58%

Bradford Park Avenue Goals

Over 0.5 58.58%
Under 0.5 41.42%
Over 1.5 22.07%
Under 1.5 77.93%

Score analysis

Hereford United 60.37%
Draw 22.25%
Bradford Park Avenue 17.37%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 12%
2-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 6.09%
4-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.25%
Bradford Park Avenue
0-1 @ 5.69%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 17.37%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jake Hibbs 82' goal
  • goal George Forsyth 26'
National League North Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 2
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Oli Johnson 2'
  • goal Oli Johnson 38'