Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	York City
35.25%	26.5%	38.25%

Both teams to score 52.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.66%

52.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.97%

74.03%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83%

64.17%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34%

26.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09%

61.91%

Score Analysis

Hereford United 35.25%

York City 38.25%

Draw 26.49%

Hereford United	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.25%