Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Hereford United |
| 63.97% | 21.57% | 14.45% |
| Both teams to score 45.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% | 50.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% | 72.64% |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% | 15.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% | 43.85% |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.27% | 46.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.72% | 82.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 12.6% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 6.02% 4-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.07% Total : 63.97% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.41% 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 0.98% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.2% Total : 14.45% |


