Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	Spennymoor Town
40.52%	25.89%	33.59%

Both teams to score 54.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.94%

50.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97%

72.03%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6%

24.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19%

58.81%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.08%

Score Analysis

Southport 40.52%

Spennymoor Town 33.59%

Draw 25.88%

Southport	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.52%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.59%