National League North | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
0 - 1
Hereford

FT(HT: 0-0)
Haines (84')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

Last Six:
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawHereford United
35.04% (0.051000000000002 0.05)26.14% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.83% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (0.097999999999999 0.1)50.87% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.084 0.08)72.75% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.078000000000003 0.08)27.83% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.098999999999997 0.1)63.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.027999999999992 0.03)25.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (0.038999999999994 0.04)60.56% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 35.04%
    Hereford United 38.83%
    Draw 26.13%
Chester FCDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.83%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Chester
2-3
Hereford
Burke (24'), Williams (63')
Hodgkiss (45+2'), Kouhyar (65'), Owen-Evans (82' pen.)
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Hereford
1-0
Chester
Haines (72')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Hereford
0-0
Chester
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
5-3
Hereford
Weeks (44'), Elliott (49'), White (52' og.), Johnston (62'), Livesey (85')
Owen-Evans (22', 38'), Digie (74')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Hereford
P-P
Chester