National League North | Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deva Stadium
Chester4 - 0Bradford Park Av
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Bradford Park Avenue.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Chester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Leamington FC | 41 | -7 | 48 |
| 16 | Chester FC | 41 | -1 | 46 |
| 17 | Gloucester City | 41 | -13 | 45 |
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-5 Southport
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Gloucester City | 41 | -13 | 45 |
| 18 | Bradford Park Avenue | 41 | -19 | 44 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 41 | -35 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 60.26% | 21.22% | 18.51% |
| Both teams to score 54.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
