National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Tom Denton 28' goal
  • Tom Denton 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 16'
  • goal Joe Lynch 23'

Alfreton Town vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
Alfreton 2 - 1 Guiseley
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
Brackley Town 0 - 0 Chester
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Kurt Willoughby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 37.61% (+0.30)
Draw 26.81% (-0.17)
Chester FC 35.58% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.4% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 53.6% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 24.9% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 75.1% (-0.57)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.38% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 27.62% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 36.85% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 63.15% (-0.64)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 28.83% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 35.32% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 64.68% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 37.61%
Draw 26.8%
Chester FC 35.58%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.2% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.52% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.83% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.13% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.08)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.8%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 7.92% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.58%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Hardy 30' goal
  • Danny Livesey 72' redcard
  • Declan Weeks 81' goal
  • Dan Cowan 90'+2' goal
  • goal Matt Rhead 80'
  • goal Matt Rhead 88'
National League North Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
National League North Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Elliott 20' goal
  • Jamie Morgan 62' goal
  • Anthony Dudley 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 31
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
The Impact Arena
Conference Premier
Mar 21, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Shaw 22' goal
  • goal Ben Heneghan 88'