MX23RW : Saturday, August 20 05:40:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at The Impact Arena
Alfreton
2 - 2
Chester
Denton (28', 90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Willoughby (16'), Lynch (23')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Chester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChester FC
37.61% (0.297 0.3) 26.81% (-0.167 -0.17) 35.58% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.532 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (0.676 0.68)53.6% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (0.567 0.57)75.1% (-0.56800000000001 -0.57)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.497 0.5)27.62% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.636 0.64)63.15% (-0.636 -0.64)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.247 0.25)28.83% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (0.31 0.31)64.68% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 37.61%
    Chester FC 35.58%
    Draw 26.8%
Alfreton TownDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.58%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Chester
3-2
Alfreton
Hardy (30'), Weeks (81'), Cowan (90+2')
Livesey (72')
Rhead (80', 88')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
3-0
Alfreton
Elliott (20' pen.), Morgan (62'), Dudley (88')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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