Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.