National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Jack Lambert 22' goal
  • goal Morgan Roberts 41'
  • goal Morgan Roberts 57'

Darlington vs Banbury United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Southport 1 - 0 Darlington
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jacob Hazel

Banbury United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Banbury 0 - 0 Boston
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jack Stevens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.

Result

Darlington 30.4% (-0.24)
Draw 25.56% (+0.03)
Banbury United 44.04% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.03% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.29% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 49.7% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 28.28% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 71.71% (+0.18)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 69.72% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 30.27% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 33.55% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 66.45% (+0.31)

Banbury United Goals

Over 0.5 77.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.07% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Darlington 30.4%
Draw 25.56%
Banbury United 44.03%
Darlington
1-0 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.81% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.56%
Banbury United
0-1 @ 10.16% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.58% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.77% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.03%