Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Southport had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.