National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
3 - 5
Southport

Crawford (71', 90'), Mbeka (90')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Woods (18'), Archer (24', 29'), Vassallo (49'), Doyle (57')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Southport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawSouthport
46.28% (-0.44 -0.44)25.15% (0.114 0.11)28.56% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.285 -0.28)48.87% (0.285 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.261 -0.26)70.97% (0.261 0.26)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (-0.31 -0.31)21.14% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (-0.484 -0.48)53.99% (0.484 0.48)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.094999999999999 0.09)31.16% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.111 0.11)67.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 46.28%
    Southport 28.56%
    Draw 25.15%
Boston UnitedDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.56%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Boston
1-1
Southport
Shiels (89')
Garner (8' og.)
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Southport
4-1
Boston
Carver (17', 82', 90'), Archer (54')
Preston (71')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm