National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 1
Gloucester City

Hazel (43'), Beck (70'), Felix (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Gloucester City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawGloucester City
42.7% (0.738 0.74)25.82% (-0.188 -0.19)31.48% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 53.72% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (0.6 0.6)50.34% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.53 0.53)72.28% (-0.53 -0.53)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.629 0.63)23.42% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.90600000000001 0.91)57.42% (-0.907 -0.91)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.85% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 42.69%
    Gloucester City 31.48%
    Draw 25.81%
DarlingtonDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.69%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gloucester City
2-2
Darlington
McClure (48'), Tomlinson (63')
Ellis (54'), O'Neill (80')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Darlington
2-2
Gloucester City
Gerring (68' og.), Purver (77')
Hulbert (46', 53')