Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester City	Draw	Chorley
23.22%	25.52%	51.25%

Both teams to score 48.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.76%

54.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36%

75.63%

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.48%

38.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.73%

75.27%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81%

21.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93%

54.07%

Score Analysis

Gloucester City 23.23%

Chorley 51.24%

Draw 25.52%

Gloucester City	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 7.79% 2-1 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.23%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.24%