National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
1 - 2
Banbury

Peers (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stevens (47'), Rasulo (90+1' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Banbury United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Banbury United in this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBanbury United
20.04% (-1.035 -1.04)21.76% (-0.385 -0.39)58.2% (1.418 1.42)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.334 0.33)42.24% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.333 0.33)64.64% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.827 -0.83)34.85% (0.825 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (-0.882 -0.88)71.59% (0.879 0.88)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (0.565 0.56)14.23% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.02% (1.088 1.09)41.98% (-1.092 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 20.04%
    Banbury United 58.2%
    Draw 21.75%
Curzon AshtonDrawBanbury United
2-1 @ 5.37% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 2.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.04%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.43% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.46% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.13% (0.273 0.27)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.15% (0.133 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.19 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.075 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3%
Total : 58.2%