Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.