Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.