Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrington Town would win this match.