Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bishop's Stortford win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Southport had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bishop's Stortford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.