Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.