National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
4 - 0
Hereford

Cullinane-Liburd (7'), James Creaney (33'), Finn (68', 79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Tamworth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawHereford United
50.54% (-0.466 -0.47)24.87% (0.319 0.32)24.59% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.83% (-0.843 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-1.185 -1.19)50.5% (1.18 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-1.058 -1.06)72.43% (1.054 1.05)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.655 -0.66)19.99% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-1.062 -1.06)52.17% (1.056 1.06)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)35.22% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.548 -0.55)71.97% (0.545 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 50.54%
    Hereford United 24.59%
    Draw 24.86%
TamworthDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.54%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.244 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.59%