National League North | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
1 - 4
Tamworth

Harris (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tshikuna (45+3'), Acquaye (49'), Finn (68'), Milnes (75')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Banbury 0-3 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 1-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawTamworth
36.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.012 -0.01)50.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.84% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.14% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 36.04%
    Tamworth 37.99%
    Draw 25.96%
Spennymoor TownDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.04%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.99%