National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
1 - 0
Spennymoor

Peers (38' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Fylde
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawSpennymoor Town
48.69% (-0.299 -0.3)24.03% (0.17 0.17)27.28% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.676 -0.68)44.81% (0.67 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)67.17% (0.648 0.65)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)18.51% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.644 -0.64)49.72% (0.63699999999999 0.64)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.258 -0.26)30.01% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.309 -0.31)66.13% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 48.69%
    Spennymoor Town 27.28%
    Draw 24.02%
Curzon AshtonDrawSpennymoor Town
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.69%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Spennymoor
0-0
Curzon Ashton
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
0-3
Spennymoor
Taylor (8', 68'), Brierley (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
2-2
Curzon Ashton
McLean (39'), Taylor (59')
McKay (80'), Waters (90+2')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Curzon Ashton
P-P
Spennymoor
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Spennymoor
3-1
Curzon Ashton
Ramshaw (18', 60'), McKenna (89')
Flowers (53')