National League North | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Spennymoor

Osborne (20', 41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Taylor (86')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 3-2 Spennymoor
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawSpennymoor Town
51.55% (0.061 0.06)23.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.61% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (0.049999999999997 0.05)46.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (0.048000000000002 0.05)68.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (0.043000000000006 0.04)17.93% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)48.75% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)32.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)69.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 51.54%
    Spennymoor Town 24.61%
    Draw 23.84%
BuxtonDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.54%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Spennymoor
0-1
Buxton
Kirby (17')