National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Gloucester City

Jackson (10'), McCourt (14' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Obadeyi (75')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Gloucester City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawGloucester City
56.88% (0.067 0.07)23.28% (0.026999999999997 0.03)19.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.224 -0.22)49.09% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.203 -0.2)71.17% (0.206 0.21)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.04% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)47.19% (0.101 0.1)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.228 -0.23)39.01% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.215 -0.22)75.73% (0.218 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 56.87%
    Gloucester City 19.84%
    Draw 23.28%
BuxtonDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 56.87%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.84%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8.15pm
Gloucester City
0-1
Buxton

McHale (90+3')
Gilchrist (53')