Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.