National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 2
Spennymoor

Lambert (16'), Hazel (20', 48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Curtis (10'), Shanks (75')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 0-3 Chorley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-2 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawSpennymoor Town
38.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.22%36.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 56.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02%68.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)24.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.27% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 38.38%
    Spennymoor Town 36.4%
    Draw 25.22%
DarlingtonDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 0.93%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.4%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 1pm
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
1-1
Darlington
Taylor (45+2' pen.)
Thompson (45+3')
Charman (14')
Charman (85')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2020 3pm