Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.