National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
3 - 2
Boston

Kendall (58'), Taylor (59'), Tait (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crawford (8'), Cummings (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North

Boston United

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Leamington
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawBoston United
42.6% (0.202 0.2)26.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)54.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)75.72% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.087999999999994 0.09)25.25% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.12 0.12)60% (-0.124 -0.12)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)32.45% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.177 -0.18)68.97% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 42.59%
    Boston United 30.67%
    Draw 26.73%
Spennymoor TownDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.59%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.67%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Spennymoor
1-1
Boston
Taylor (1')
Hanson (43')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Boston
1-2
Spennymoor
Elliott (85' pen.)
Taylor (60' pen.), McLean (88')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
0-0
Boston
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Boston
P-P
Spennymoor
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Boston
P-P
Spennymoor