Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 0
Spennymoor

Shenton (4'), Ustabasi (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawSpennymoor Town
63.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)16.29% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.51% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)12.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)38.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)38.37% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.039000000000001 0.04)75.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 63.56%
    Spennymoor Town 16.29%
    Draw 20.15%
ChorleyDrawSpennymoor Town
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 63.56%
1-1 @ 9.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.29%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Spennymoor
2-0
Chorley
Taylor (18' pen.), Anderson (51')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Chorley
0-2
Spennymoor

Smith (42')
Taylor (62'), Anderson (85')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
P-P
Chorley
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Chorley
P-P
Spennymoor